Baseball Fever forum member Rajun Cajun put this little gem in the Baseball 101 forums last night. What follows is essentially a break down of what a youth league batter can expect to see with a particular count in an at-bat.
- 0/0 Fast ball 75% of the time- Trying to get ahead, establish dominance
- 1/0 Fast ball 85% of the time – Still trying to get ahead, trusting his defense
- 2/0 Fast ball 95% of the time – trying to battle back into the count
- 3/0 Fast Ball 100% of the time – Trying to establish something to build on
- 0/1 Fastball/Curveball , 65% FB, 35% Off Speed –aim is to disrupt hitters timing
- 1/1 Fastball/Slider 50/50 this pitch decides who is winning the battle (runner on-FB, no runner: off speed)
- 2/1 Fastball/slider 50/50 if you’ve seen the fastball, expect offspeed (runner on-FB, no runner: off speed)
- 3/1 Fastball 93% FB hitters count thinking fastball all the way
- 0/2 Fastball 50/50 pitcher is looking for a cheap out, fastball low/away, or curveball/CU
- 1/2 Fastball/Slider/Curveball 60/40 percentages are too close to call, protect outside
- 2/2 Fastball/Slider/Curveball 30/70, no reason to throw you a FB unless you are way behind, if you haven’t fouled off a FB yet, expect one, if you have, think off speed
- 3/2 Fastball 95% – he doesn’t want to walk you, so expect his best FB for a strike, the 2/2 pitch was a setup pitch for his FB if he showed you off speed at 2/2
As a youth league coach, it’s important to remember that your players shouldn’t have this in their head while at-bat. That’s just too much thinking. Instead, you should be aware of what an opposing pitcher is going to try to do to your hitters and have them generally prepared for what may be coming.